Short Rates Desk
← Markets

Growth

13 contracts · $714K aggregate volume · freshest 8m ago

Contracts in growth

  • polymarketprimaryWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? ($163,085 vol)$212K vol · updated 8m ago
    85.50%
  • polymarketprimaryWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? ($91,307 vol)$92K vol · updated 8m ago
    0.05%
  • polymarketprimaryWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? ($65,577 vol)$78K vol · updated 8m ago
    11.30%
  • polymarketprimaryWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? ($66,077 vol)$75K vol · updated 8m ago
    2.05%
  • polymarketprimaryWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? ($72,518 vol)$74K vol · updated 8m ago
    0.05%
  • kalshiprimary2.5% (35,071 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$58K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    17.00%
  • kalshiprimary2.0% (12,828 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$38K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    50.50%
  • kalshiprimary1.5% (9,233 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$28K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    85.00%
  • kalshiprimary1.0% (17,787 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$24K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    90.50%
  • kalshiprimary3.0% (8,039 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$18K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    14.50%
  • kalshiprimary3.5% (5,537 vol, closes 2026-07-30)$7K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    5.50%
  • kalshiprimaryAbove $3.4 trillion (5,396 vol, closes 2027-04-01)$5K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    86.50%
  • kalshiprimaryAbove $4.4 trillion (4,814 vol, closes 2027-04-01)$5K vol · updated 8m ago · source ↗
    50.00%

Desk metrics for this bucket

The economic observations and citations the desk uses to think about growth will land here in a follow-up — relevant FRED series, observation deltas, and recent notes that referenced this bucket. For now use the contract list above plus the latest brief on the home page.