Fed path
5 contracts · $9.8M aggregate volume · freshest 53m ago
Contracts in fed path
- polymarketprimaryFed rate hike in 2026? ($2,101,327 vol)$8.8M vol · updated 53m ago70.50%
- polymarketprimaryWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? ($328,801 vol)$362K vol · updated 53m ago2.85%
- polymarketprimaryWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? ($274,070 vol)$314K vol · updated 53m ago2.35%
- polymarketprimaryWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? ($197,632 vol)$218K vol · updated 53m ago3.40%
- polymarketprimaryWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? ($141,604 vol)$143K vol · updated 53m ago2.65%
Desk metrics for this bucket
The economic observations and citations the desk uses to think about fed path will land here in a follow-up — relevant FRED series, observation deltas, and recent notes that referenced this bucket. For now use the contract list above plus the latest brief on the home page.